Trabzonspor vs Fethiyespor: Match Preview and Prediction

Introduction

The Turkiye Cup Group Stage fixture between Trabzonspor and Fethiyespor on 3 February 2026 at Papara Park is a notable cup tie for both clubs. The match matters for group positioning and momentum: Trabzonspor enter as clear favourites in available data, while Fethiyespor will look to upset the hosts. This preview summarises the key statistics, recent form and modelled score probabilities to give readers a concise picture of likely outcomes.

Main analysis

Match details

Date: 3 February 2026. Venue: Papara Park. Competition: Turkiye Cup, Group Stage (Group A).

Form and recent results

Trabzonspor arrive with a strong run of results in late January and early February: 6-1 at Istanbulspor (14 Jan), 2-1 vs Kasımpaşa (23 Jan), 2-1 at Kocaelispor (18 Jan) and a 1-1 draw with Antalyaspor (30 Jan). These results underline a potent attack and consistent league/cup form. The head-to-head data in the provided dataset shows no recorded prior meetings between the two clubs for this summary.

Statistical outlook and predictions

Available model output marks Trabzonspor as heavy favourites. One clear figure shows a 74.97% chance of a Trabzonspor win; other win probability lines in the dataset vary but consistently favour the home side. Predicted score probabilities highlight 2-0 at 12.68% and 1-0 at 12.61% as the two most likely specific scores, with 3-1 at 6.81% also among the top choices.

Market-style goal probabilities indicate a moderate-scoring match: the data lists under 2.5 goals at 43.36% and under 3.5 goals at 66.18%. That suggests the model expects a match skewed toward a single-team win with a relatively contained total of goals rather than a high-scoring shootout.

Conclusion

In summary, the data-backed outlook ahead of the Trabzonspor vs Fethiyespor tie points to a Trabzonspor victory, most likely by a narrow to moderate margin (1-0 or 2-0 are top projected scores). While cup fixtures can produce surprises, the balance of recent form and the model probabilities make the home side the clear favourites. For readers following the Turkiye Cup, this match is likely to consolidate Trabzonspor’s standing in Group A unless Fethiyespor can produce an unexpected defensive masterclass or a sharp counter-attacking display.